Expected Move Predicted Everything - But Nobody's Listening

Don Kaufman here.

We just wrapped up the wildest week in months. (link to my video update below). 

Mr. Toad's wild ride doesn't even begin to describe what we just witnessed.

But here's what's driving me absolutely insane...

Everyone's panicking about a move that was PERFECTLY predicted.

Last Friday, I drew a line on the screen showing the SPX expected move: 144 points down from where we started the week.

Want to know where we closed today? Nine points off that exact prediction.

NINE POINTS. That's a rounding error.

Yet financial media is running "special reports on volatility" like the world is ending.

Here's What They're Missing

While everyone's losing their minds about Thursday's "precipitous drop," they're completely ignoring the actual warning signs staring them in the face.

I'm talking about volatility indicators that aren't backing down. Options volume that hit historic levels. And a correlation pattern that tells me we're nowhere near done.

The Real Kicker

We just came out of a five-day trading week with a $144 expected move.

Next week? Only three and a half trading days (thanks, Thanksgiving) with almost a $150 move priced in.

Do the math.

The market is pricing in MORE volatility with LESS time.

What I'm Seeing In The Data

This week I closed some quick winners - 30% here, 56% there, one earnings play for 182%. (Get in on these plays with our Black Friday Special).

But I'm not celebrating.

Because what I'm seeing in the order flow, in the volatility futures, in the correlation patterns... it's telling me something big is coming.

And there's one specific indicator I track that nobody else is talking about - when it hits certain levels, it's like a warning siren that crap's about to hit the fan again.

Bottom Line

Stop trying to read levels. Stop listening to financial media panic.

Start reading what the market is actually telling you about next week.

I break down everything I'm seeing - the specific volatility readings, the options volume that has me concerned, and exactly how I'm positioning for what's coming - in this week's market update.

Because if you think this week was wild...

Cook your turkey early.

Watch the full breakdown here

To your success,
Don Kaufman

P.S. Black Friday deals are live at TheoTrade. Get in before this gets worse: Check them out here!