I can't price volatility at 16. I can't.

(new video update from Don)

Don Kaufman here. 

VIX at 16 scares the living crap out of me.

I can't price volatility at 16. I can't. Not with everything that's happening right now.

Holy crap, for a full week, the expected move is 86 bucks. 

Why the hell do we only have like an expected move of 86 when we moved almost 50 points in a single day? The math doesn't add up, okay?

While everyone's playing musical chairs with big tech - watching one stock pop each day while the rest stay flat - they're completely missing the real opportunity staring us in the face. 

The market internals are terrible. We had 92 decliners in the S&P 100. Financials got crushed. But nobody's paying attention because the index looks fine.

I'm long volatility right now, and I will not be anything but a buyer of short duration options. 

When volatility is this inherently low and the market's giving you these kinds of moves, you buy it. Period.

The disconnect is insane. 

We're sitting here with Trump back in office, tariff uncertainties everywhere, and VIX is down at 16. I can't even believe I'm saying that. The expected move for next week should be way higher than what they're pricing.

This is one of those moments where the market's asleep at the wheel, and I'm not going to ignore it.

To your success,

Don Kaufman

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