The $110 Trillion Shadow Banking Secret That Breaks Every Bear Case

Don Kaufman
October 14, 2025

Hey, it’s Garrett.

While everyone's obsessing over the Fed's "massive" $6.5 trillion balance sheet, they're missing the real story.

The shadow banking system - hedge funds, private equity, crypto platforms - is sloshing around $110 trillion.

One hundred and ten trillion. With a T.

That's why every bear case keeps getting obliterated. That's why fundamentals feel broken.

That's why Stanley Druckenmiller himself admitted in 2018 that momentum trading doesn't work anymore.

Here's what kills me.

I've been doing this since the nineties.

I lost money on the backside of dot-com.

I crushed it during the '08 crisis.

But most traders are still stuck in a mindset from 30-40 years ago, back when markets actually reflected underlying economics.

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