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The Fed trap nobody sees coming (and why Friday could be epic)
new market video update
Hey, it’s Gianni here.
Look, everyone's fixated on what's going on in the Middle East today, and I get it. But they're missing the real story here.
Oil just smashed through $73 a barrel - way above that $65 to $68 level I've been harping on for weeks. And honestly? This might've just put Powell in an impossible spot that nobody's talking about yet.
Here's what caught my attention today
So last week we got another softer than expected inflation report, right? Powell's probably thinking he's got room to cut rates later this year.
Then boom - oil rockets past $73 and suddenly everything changes.
Now I'm asking myself... would the Fed really be crazy enough to start cutting interest rates while oil prices are surging like this?
Something's gotta break
You're seeing bonds bid, oil bid, even the dollar coming back today. That's not gonna last forever, and with oil at $73, one of these moves is about to reverse hard.
The question is which one.
Why Friday could be epic
Powell's got his press conference tomorrow with oil at these levels. The market's closed Thursday, so Friday's weekly close is gonna tell us everything about where this market heads next.
I'm telling you, you don't wanna miss what I'm seeing set up here.
Watch today's full market breakdown
I dove deep into all of this in today's video - the Fed's impossible choice, what $73 oil really means for your portfolio, why semiconductors making new highs changes everything, and the specific energy plays I'm watching.
Plus, I break down exactly what to watch for in Powell's press conference and why Friday's close could be the most important of the year.
The setup I'm seeing could create some serious opportunities if you know what to look for.
Take care,
Gianni Di Poce
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