Why I'm FADING This Rally

(New Video From Don)

Author

Don Kaufman
March 14, 2025

Don Kaufman here. 

The markets are finally bouncing, but I'm about to throw cold water on today's "rally" - and reveal why I believe more downside is coming.

Here's the unvarnished truth: this 2.1% move up isn't the rebound bulls have been waiting for.

  • THE EXPECTED MOVE TRAP - Why today's rally stopping EXACTLY at the $152 lower edge of the expected move is a massive red flag

  • CORRELATION DECEPTION - The troubling signal when 86% of S&P 100 stocks move in unison (and why it's not real buying)

  • VOLATILITY'S HIDDEN MESSAGE - Why short-term options activity has rendered the VIX nearly meaningless, and what metrics actually matter now

  • THE SHORTABLE ZONE - My specific price targets (5700-5750) where I'll be looking to fade this move next week

  • MR. TOAD'S WILD RIDE AHEAD - Why next week's Fed meeting and triple witching could create violent market swings in BOTH directions

After a 10% correction from the highs, everyone's desperate for a bottom. But as I explain in the video, when people are desperately "looking for the exit" on every bounce, that's NOT what capitulation looks like.

To your success,

Don Kaufman


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